BREXIT 2 - Trump Wins!
Why?
The polling is simply wrong. Realize that all polls are built on some kind of system that is based on assumptions. Those assumptions are wrong this time for the following reasons:
1. The polls are oversampling Democrats as usual. This has worked in the past two elections but unlike the past two elections many Democrats are going to stay home as I point home below.
2. Some Bernie democrats are going to stay home after Wikilieaks exposed that the Democratic party & Hillary's campaign collaborated to cheat Bernie during the primaries.
3. Some Dems will stay home due to Hillary's corruption.
4. Some actual election day voting always goes against the incumbent party. This always happens & will happen today.
5. The Brexit Effect. - There are at least 2% and as many as 4% of Trump voters that are not identifying their vote when being polled. This makes the difference in the toss-up states today.
6. The angrier party has an advantage. Many Trump voters will vote come hell or high water. Some Hillary supporters simply are not motivated and just may stay home.
There you have it. Trump wins in a very close election which could end tonight in a 269 to 269 electoral tie. Trump wins in this scenario since each State has one vote and that means Trump wins since there are far more State delegations that are held by Republicans and their vote decides the election in case of an electoral tie.
One final prediction: Hillary gets the higher percentage of votes nationally but still loses to Trump due to the Electoral College.
No comments:
Post a Comment